[ALBSA-Info] Fwd: Recent Reports on SEE

[Agron Alibali]

  Florian Bieber <fbieber at yahoo.com> wrote: From Florian Bieber Tue Apr 9 00:48:52 2002
To: balkans at yahoogroups.com
From: Florian Bieber 
Date: Tue, 09 Apr 2002 09:48:52 +0200
Subject: [balkans] Recent Reports on SEE

1. Serbia and Montenegro (CAP)
2. Potential Trade in Southeast Europe: a Gravity Model Approach (WIIW)


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1. Serbia and Montenegro

For all the talk of "history in the making" in first reactions to the agreement between Belgrade and Podgorica, the spotlight is actually on the dustbin of history: Milosevic's "Third Yugoslavia" is dead and there will be no more incarnations. First reactions to the new-born "Serbia and Montenegro" covered a whole spectrum of emotions, ranging from "a freak of a state" or "a rotten compromise" to "a new beginning." Fact is that Javier Solana seems to have found a middle way in-between federation and confederation - at least for the time being. In three years (at the most!), the day of reckoning will come. For the moment, the political deadlock has been broken and a window of opportunity has been created for reform policies and regional co-operation. A comparison between the agreement of 14 March and the two "platforms" that defined the negotiating positions one and a half years ago throws the embedded compromises and innovations into relief. A second comparison with the political realities in Belgrade, Podgorica … and Pristina reveals the agreement's limitations and deficits. Despite all sobering thoughts, however, the symbolic value and regional consequences of this "small step" should not be dismissed too lightly: The dice have been cast and political actors will have to reposition themselves accordingly. 


See: http://www.cap.uni-muenchen.de/aktuell/positionen/2002_04_meurs.htm

The appendix to the working paper includes the full text of the Djukanovic platform, the Kostunica/Djindjic reply and the 14 March agreement as well as an issue-by-issue comparison of the three documents.

P o s i t i o n
Serbia and Montenegro
One Small Step for Mankind, One Giant Leap for the Balkans?
Download (97 KB, PDF-Format): Full Version (with Appendix) 
By Wim van Meurs - 8. April 2002


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2. WIIW: Potential Trade in Southeast Europe: a Gravity Model Approach

Potential Trade in Southeast Europe: a Gravity Model Approach
by Edward Christie
WIIW Working Paper No. 21, March 2002
35 pages, EUR 8.00 (free PDF download from the WIIW website)

For summary see http://www.wiiw.ac.at/news.html

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