[ALBSA-Info] Excellent Analysis from The Economist

[Artin Spahiu]

 I can say with 99% certainty (a claim I am sure will
> be
> disputed) no such thing will happen for the
> following reasons: NATO action 
> on Macedonian ground w/o a UN mandate would be yet
> another violation of 
> international law. The Bush administration, itching
> to lower its presence in 
> the Balkans, would not want to risk casualties, and
> the rest of 
> allies....well
> we all know how long it takes for them to get their
> act together w/o US 
> leadership.

--> 1)Is that 1% left out, in case we have the same
"violation of the international" law that we had in
Kosova? :)
2)Regarding Bush administration, you are proving my
point, I said moving/shifting troops not adding
troops, and since in Macedonia they would need less
troops they are actually lowering their presence, read
between the lines! :)
Your last paragraph sounds very familiar to me check
my last paragraph of my first e-mail :)
Above all, I said this was a probable scenario in case
NATO reasons in the same way with the author of the
article, but "it's a 99% probability" that they will
not, because i said " that was senseless":)


> You make it sound this is an all-Albanian uprising
> which most clearly it 
> isn't. Victory euphoria can't be the link.
> Euphorias dont last long and it's been 2 years since
> the NATO strikes.

--->Nik, firstly  all-Albanian uprising thing was the
idea of the article on the magazine, that YOU found as
a good explanation for the situation in Macedonia.
Secondly, I was not talking about euphoria which is
caused by drugs! :) I' wasn't even talking about
euphoria at all, I was saying that the first NATO
intervention might serve as a good argument to fuel
the old fire and to convince THE PEOPLE that in a war
scenario they will be supported again, therefore....
Right now the situation is very tense and people might
thing that they can challenge the limits because they
will be supported again, which is not true!  


> Besides the Allies have made it clear they don't
> support 'extremist groups'.

---> This is one more reason for NATO not to
interfere, which is what I was trying to explain, I
think we both agree about the result, It's just that
annoying reply feeling :) 

>   The Kosova link can only be found in the
> uncertainty over its status, and 
> the fear of a pullout of NATO forces (if Kosova were
> to be destabilized by 
> disgruntled armed Albanians), and of an imminent
> return of the Jugoslav 
> Army.

-->That's what I wrote in the first e-mail, once
again!
If you do reply next time with "the same line"
probably I will just do copy & paste with "no
comments"!

 

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