[ALBSA-Info] Excellent Analysis from The Economist

[Artin Spahiu]

Yes indeed it does exists a link between the conflict
in Macedonia and in Kosova, but it's not the one that
the author thinks. He is stating that:

"If the warning of a “return to war” is understood as
a threat to ruin Macedonia’s fragile equilibrium, then
it sounds all too plausible—and it looks very much as
if the threat is being carried out."

Well, I think he is giving to much credit for such a
"fine strategy". Because it is totally senseless. If
NATO would find a such a connection between both wars,
all they have to do is move their troops from Kosova
to Macedonia, and leave the serbs deal with the
Albanians. (The allowance of the recent deployment of
the Serb military close to the Kosova border  and the
recent improvements in the relations between Serbs and
Europe, should be a strong warning for Albanians)
If  NATO really finds this strategy  plausible, then
they just cut down their expenses and troubles in
Kosova under a "strong reason", and shift the same
troops to keep the "fragile equilibrium" in Macedonia
if the situation presents itself.
Everybody wins except Albanians!
Well where is the link then? It's very simple;
Albanians got to much excited from the results of the
war in Kosova, although they paid a big price for that
(and it was the right time). Since the Victory  was
carried out by a war, they think that RIGHT NOW
another one would bring them the same supportive
reaction from NATO.
They forget three things;
First, how long did it take NATO to interfere in the
Kosova war, though the situation on that time was
incomparable to this one....!
Second the fact that the situation of Macedonia is
QUITE different from Kosova, in terms of human rights
and demographic proportions!
Third that NATO might like to get used but certainly
not abused!
Now, people don’t get me wrong, certainly I’m for a
better situation of Albanians in Macedonia, but I
think that right now, the way that things are moving 
the “war weight” would be unbearable for ALL
Albanians! 

 
 --- Kreshnik Bejko <kbejko at hotmail.com> wrote:
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>  
> 
> >This is the best analysis of the situation in
> Macedonia
> >I've read to date. It is argued that a strong link
> exists
> >between Kosova's unresolved status and the
> guerrila's in
> >Macedonia. The Albanian nationalists seeing no
> clear
> >prospect of self-determination in Kosova threaten
> destabilization, but they
> >can't risk a NATO withdrawal and a return of the
> Jugoslav Army in Kosova so
> >they logical choice is Macedonia having a only
> fraction of the Jugoslav
> >firepower. I think this is a rather cunning move
> >indicating a carefully devised strategy.
> Understandably
> >the Western powers don't like to be pressured which
> would
> >explain the vociferous condemnation of the
> guerrilla's action. It might 
> >seem
> >like a win-win situation for Albanians if they have
> the appropriate exit
> >strategy.
> >
>
>http://www.economist.com/world/europe/displayStory.cfm?Story_ID=541782
> >
> >
>
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